With the Bank of England’s emergency bond buying support set to end today (Friday 14th October), we think it’s important to fill you in on what exactly has been going on.
The Mini Budget
Kwarteng’s mini-budget on 23rd September 2022 saw the Government announce enormous tax cuts with very little explanation as to how these would be funded. This has triggered strong waves of uncertainty which have in turn affected the UK’s financial situation.
It led to a steep drop in the value of the pound as well as rises in government borrowing costs.
Government Borrowing
One of the ways in which the Government generates enough money to fund its spending plans is by selling government bonds (also known as gilts) to investors. This acts as a form of debt which is paid back over time with the addition to interest.
They sell these bonds to investors such as large pension funds and big banks on international markets.
These investors have been demanding much higher interest rates to lend to the UK government because they have concerns over whether their tax cut plan will actually work.
What is the Link with Pension Funds?
Pension funds tend to invest in bonds as they are seen as a low-risk investment, giving a low but reliable return over a long period of time. They also buy a form of insurance to protect the value of these bonds.
As government borrowing costs increased, insurance providers began charging a higher rate of interest.
In order to afford these extra payments, many pension funds began selling their bonds, with further reduced their price and pushed up their interest.
This created a negative spiral, as the more bonds pension funds sold, the higher the cost of government borrowing became, meaning insurance payments rose, meaning even more bonds were sold, and so on, and so forth.
Bank of England Emergency Intervention
The Bank of England (BoE) decided to implement an emergency bond buying scheme as a temporary measure to stop the prices of government bonds falling any further and thus limit the need for pension funds to sell any more of them.
It did this by buying lots of government bonds. By buying these bonds, government borrowing costs should reduce, as it eliminates the need to pay those huge interest rates demanded by investors we mentioned earlier.
By buying these bonds, the BoE has helped stabilise their price, preventing further sales from pension schemes that could ultimately cause their collapse. They have essentially halted the market turmoil that was putting pressure on pension funds.
Despite announcing that they would buy up to £65bn bonds, with a daily purchase limit of £5bn a day, they have only bought around £5bn in total.
Only a Temporary Measure
The BoE’s intervention is a temporary measure aimed at maintaining financial stability. Their bond-buying scheme is due to end today, despite pension funds trying to get them to extend their intervention.
On Wednesday, when they announced that their emergency support would end on Friday as planned, the price of 20-year UK bonds hit new lows, with interest rates going up to levels not seen since 2002.
However, the idea behind the BoE stopping their intervention is that they expect demand to increase as pension funds rebalance their portfolios and stabilise. Think of the measure of them allowing pension funds some time to get back on their feet.
The BoE has not completely withdrawn support either. They have announced further measures to help pension fund sthat have been negatively affected by the recent market volatility. Under this measure, funds will be able to use a wider range of assets to access money to meet short-term financial needs. This should mean less pension funds having to turn to selling government bonds to raise cash, which is what was happening after Kwarteng’s mini-budget.